ROAS is down 18 percent over three weeks. So the team changes four things and learns nothing.
Soft ROAS is a symptom with at least four possible owners.
Step zero: make sure the number is real
Reconcile platform revenue against your backend and compare complete, equivalent windows.
The decomposition that tells you where to look
- CPM moved: auction, audience, placement, geography, or seasonality
- CTR moved: creative, hook, format, or placement mix
- CVR moved: landing page, offer, checkout, inventory, traffic quality, or tracking
- AOV moved: product mix, discounting, or upsell behavior
The 30 minute triage
- Reconcile revenue
- Count serving products
- Compare CPM, CTR, CVR, and AOV within segments
- Check site deploys and app updates
- Change one thing in one branch
Stop at the first branch that shows a real change. Changing everything at once guarantees the next investigation will be just as confused.
